Puerto Vallarta, Mexico — A major hurricane is unlikely to form in the Pacific Ocean this October, potentially allowing the tropical cyclone season to end without significant impact on Puerto Vallarta, according to meteorologist Víctor Manuel Cornejo López.
Cornejo López, the scientific advisor to the municipal councils of Civil Protection in the metropolitan area, stated that current weather conditions are not conducive to the development of strong hurricanes similar to historical cyclones like “Kenna” and “Patricia.”
“Between now and October 20th, there are no signs of a large cyclone forming in the Pacific,” he said. While there is a possibility of a low-pressure system developing near Nicaragua, Cornejo López explained that it is expected to move toward the Yucatán Peninsula and is unlikely to intensify into a tropical depression.
He also mentioned the potential formation of a new cyclone in the Pacific at the end of the month. However, this system is projected to have an offshore trajectory, minimizing any threat to the coastline. “We will continue to monitor any developments, but currently, there are no conditions for relatively large cyclones to be generated in the Pacific,” he added.
In central and northern regions of Mexico, authorities are already anticipating the end of the storm season. “Normally, the storm ends when a mass of relatively dry and cold air stagnates over the national territory,” Cornejo López explained. He noted that sufficient conditions exist for this weather pattern to occur soon.
Looking ahead, Cornejo López mentioned that during the last week of October and the first week of November, a stray cyclone could form. However, it is not expected to develop into a major hurricane.
Residents and visitors in Puerto Vallarta can remain cautiously optimistic as the official tropical cyclone season, ending on November 30, appears poised to conclude quietly this year.
