Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, October 27, 2026 — Tropical Storm Vance remained offshore Tuesday afternoon, with heavy rain and 2–3-meter waves forecast along Jalisco’s coast.
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s 3 p.m. bulletin placed the storm 450 kilometers southwest of Cabo Corrientes, updating its noon position of 480 kilometers south-southwest. Vance had sustained winds of 65 kilometers per hour and was moving northwest at 15 kilometers per hour.
The agency forecast localized rainfall of 50–75 millimeters (about 2–3 inches) along Jalisco’s coast. Coastal wind gusts could reach 40–60 kilometers per hour, accompanied by waves roughly 6.5–10 feet high.
Those figures describe a regional forecast. They do not establish how much rain will fall in Puerto Vallarta or the wave height at every beach inside Banderas Bay.
For residents deciding whether to swim or take a boat trip, the practical question is how much a storm that far offshore should change their plans.
At the time of this update, SEMAR’s live port-status system listed Puerto Vallarta, Nuevo Vallarta and La Cruz de Huanacaxtle as open to all vessels. The system did not show a general navigation closure for those ports.
Passengers should still confirm their particular sailing with the operator and follow instructions from Capitanía de Puerto. A port’s operating status and conditions for an individual excursion are separate checks.
Vallarta Daily could not verify a beach-by-beach flag bulletin dated October 27 by the time of this update. Beachgoers should check the flag displayed at their location and follow lifeguards’ instructions before entering the water.
The National Hurricane Center’s afternoon advisory explains why caution remains necessary: swells from Vance could produce “life-threatening surf and rip current conditions” along portions of Mexico’s southern, southwestern and west-central coasts over the next few days.
No coastal hurricane or tropical-storm watches or warnings were in effect in that advisory. The surf warning remained in effect despite the storm’s relatively weak winds and offshore position.
Closer to home, Jalisco Civil Protection’s 3:10 p.m. update said Vance’s outer bands would favor scattered rain across coastal and mountain regions through the afternoon and night. Its forecast put the storm’s closest approach at approximately 330 kilometers from Cabo Corrientes.
That keeps the local focus on rain and sea conditions, continuing the concerns described in Vallarta Daily’s Monday update on Vance.
The next complete National Hurricane Center advisory is scheduled for 9 p.m. Puerto Vallarta time. For anyone traveling by boat before then, confirming the return crossing with the operator should be as routine as checking the departure.
