Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, July 15, 2026 – Puerto Vallarta began Wednesday with mostly clear skies and a temperature near 25°C (77°F) at approximately 6:30 a.m. local time.
Temperatures are forecast to reach about 35°C (95°F), with an overnight low near 25°C (77°F). An isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible during the afternoon and early evening.
The official regional forecast places western Jalisco within an area where showers could produce localized rainfall of 25 to 50 millimeters, or roughly 1 to 2 inches. That is a regional estimate rather than a forecast for every part of Puerto Vallarta. Any stronger storm could bring lightning, brief gusty winds, and street flooding in low-lying areas.
Afternoon Rain Window
Rain chances remain low through most of the morning before increasing after midday. Hourly guidance places the main window between approximately 1:00 p.m. and 7:00 p.m., when the chance of rain ranges from about 40% to 50%.
Rainfall may be uneven across the city. Some neighborhoods could remain dry while a nearby area receives a short, heavy downpour. Lightning is possible where thunderstorms develop.
Drivers should allow extra time during any storm and avoid entering flooded streets or crossings where the water depth cannot be seen.
Heat and Humidity
Humidity was near 80% around sunrise and is expected to fall into the low 60% range during the hottest part of the afternoon.
The combination of heat and humidity could make afternoon conditions feel closer to 39°C (103°F) in the shade and as high as 44°C (111°F) in direct sun, according to the daily heat-index forecast.
Outdoor work, exercise and longer walks are better scheduled for the morning. Water, shade and breaks will be important during the afternoon.
Wind, Surf and Beach Conditions
Winds inside the city should generally remain light, near 8 to 10 km/h (5 to 6 mph). The broader coastal forecast allows for gusts of 30 to 50 km/h (19 to 31 mph), particularly near storms.
Waves along the Jalisco coast may reach 1 to 2 meters, or about 3 to 7 feet. Beach conditions can vary considerably within Banderas Bay, so swimmers should follow the flag posted by lifeguards and leave the water when thunder is heard. Small-boat passengers should confirm conditions with their operator before departure.
Best Hours for Outdoor Plans
The most reliable period for outdoor activities will be during the morning. By early afternoon, heat will become the main concern, followed by the possibility of scattered rain and thunderstorms.
Anyone planning an evening drive, beach visit, or outdoor event should check radar and local alerts again later in the day. Forecast conditions can change quickly during Puerto Vallarta’s summer rainy season.
