Convection associated with Tropical Storm Roslyn has become a bit better organized since the last advisory, with a strong cluster having developed near the center.
The forecast for Roslyn is to move slowly eastward during the next few days. The storm’s evolution should cause Roslyn to recurve and make landfall in western Mexico, with Puerto Vallarta currently in the probability zone for landfall.
The track guidance is generally in good agreement with this scenario. However, there is some spread regarding how quickly Roslyn will recurve, which will determine where landfall is made. The best prediction at this time is landfall between Cabo Corrientes and Nayarit, with Vallarta in the middle of the possibilities. Friday will bring more clarity.
