Mexico Weather - Rain is back in Puerto Vallarta this Sunday, July 27, 2025, with storm activity expected to last throughout the day. These storms will continue into the night. Meanwhile, much of Mexico faces similar weather disruptions, experiencing torrential rain, landslides, and record-breaking heat.
Morning rain and muggy conditions in Puerto Vallarta
Puerto Vallarta starts the day under gray skies and a 100% chance of light to moderate rainfall. Wet roads and slower commutes are nearly unavoidable. Morning temperatures reach a warm 29°C (85°F). Humidity contributes to an overall sweltering feel. Winds from the west-northwest remain light at just 6 km/h. This offers little relief from the heat or the storm clouds.
Local authorities recommend extra caution when driving, especially during the morning commute, as roads will be slick. Drivers are urged to keep a safe distance from other vehicles and reduce speed to avoid accidents.
Afternoon highs and intermittent showers
The rain lets up slightly by the early afternoon. However, the chance of precipitation remains at 67%, keeping the risk of storms alive. Despite the cloud cover, temperatures will soar to 33°C (91°F). The combination of heat and humidity will make outdoor activity uncomfortable for many.
Residents are advised to stay hydrated, wear light clothing, and limit sun exposure during peak heat hours. Even though wind speeds remain steady at 6 km/h, the atmosphere will feel oppressive with the trapped moisture.
Heavy rain returns at night
Rain is forecast to intensify again by nightfall with a 100% chance of precipitation. The temperature will settle around 26°C (79°F), bringing only modest relief from the daytime heat.
Those heading out in the evening should be prepared for flooded streets and poor visibility, especially in low-lying areas. The city advises avoiding unnecessary driving. Additionally, check vehicle maintenance, especially brakes and wipers, to stay safe on the roads.
Looking ahead: more storms and no relief from heat
On Monday, July 28, Puerto Vallarta will face continued rainfall and unrelenting heat. Morning temperatures will hover around 30°C (86°F) with a 100% chance of heavy rain. The wind continues to blow softly from the west at 6–8 km/h.
Rain is expected to persist into the night, with a 99% chance of continued showers. Temperatures will dip slightly to 25°C (77°F). It's shaping up to be a stormy start to the week, so locals are encouraged to stay informed and prepare for continued disruptions.
National outlook: heatwaves, tropical waves, and severe rain
Beyond Puerto Vallarta, most of Mexico is under weather advisories. A complex mix of tropical waves and atmospheric instability sweeps across the country. The Mexican Monsoon is driving extreme conditions in the northwest. Tropical wave activity is bringing heavy rainfall to central and southeastern states.
According to the National Meteorological Service, several regions are at risk of flooding, landslides, and reduced visibility due to intense rain. The heaviest rainfall is expected in:
- Veracruz (south) and Oaxaca (north): 75 to 150 mm
- Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Nayarit, Durango, Chiapas, and others: 50 to 75 mm
- Mexico City and central states: 25 to 50 mm
This rain could be accompanied by lightning, hail, and strong gusts. This increases the risk of damage to property and infrastructure. Rivers and streams in mountainous regions may rise rapidly, and travelers should avoid river crossings and check for road closures.
Blistering heat persists in northern Mexico
While the south and central states contend with rain, northern and Pacific coastal regions continue to battle extreme heat. Temperatures are forecast to exceed:
- 45°C (113°F): in northeastern Baja California and western Sonora
- 40–45°C: in northern Sinaloa and Baja California Sur
- 35–40°C: across Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nayarit, Jalisco, and parts of the Yucatán Peninsula
These temperatures, combined with high humidity in coastal areas, create dangerous heat conditions. The public is warned to limit time outdoors, drink water frequently, and avoid strenuous activities during peak sun hours.
Winds, dust storms, and rising seas
Strong wind gusts—up to 70 km/h—are forecast in Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Oaxaca, Campeche, and Yucatán. These gusts increase the risk of downed trees and flying debris. Dust storms are possible in Baja California and Sonora, where visibility may be drastically reduced.
Along the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur, waves between 1.0 to 2.0 meters are expected, particularly on the west-facing shores. Coastal visitors and boaters should exercise caution.
Regional forecasts: major alerts in place
- Mexico City and State of Mexico are bracing for cool mornings and afternoon storms with possible hail and flooding.
- Jalisco and neighboring states will see very heavy rain, likely disrupting travel and raising river levels.
- Oaxaca, Veracruz, and Chiapas are at high risk for flash flooding and landslides, especially in mountainous and rural zones.
- The Yucatán Peninsula will experience hot conditions with storms in the afternoon. This is especially true in Campeche and Yucatán, where gusts may reach 70 km/h.
- In the Northern states, including Chihuahua and Durango, violent wind gusts and heavy rains are likely to affect driving conditions and infrastructure.
Travel and safety tips
With weather extremes affecting large parts of the country, authorities are urging travelers to:
- Check weather forecasts before traveling, especially in mountainous or flood-prone areas
- Drive cautiously in the rain and avoid flooded roads
- Stay indoors during lightning storms
- Keep hydrated and avoid outdoor activities during the hottest hours of the day
- Prepare emergency kits for power outages or mobility disruptions
Puerto Vallarta may be the focus for now, but the entire country is under meteorological pressure. From tropical rains to searing heat and strong winds, the weekend and start of next week promise to challenge travelers and residents alike. Stay safe, stay informed, and plan around the weather.
Sources:
- National Meteorological Service of Mexico (SMN)
- Gobierno de México Climate Bulletins
- Puerto Vallarta Municipal Civil Protection
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