Mexico’s central bank is expected to raise its benchmark interest rate this week for the fifth meeting in a row, but policymakers are seen slowing the pace of hikes after a rally in the peso, a Reuters poll showed on Monday.
The Banco de Mexico is likely to raise rates on Thursday by a quarter percentage point to 6.50 percent, according to 15 of 24 analysts surveyed by Reuters. Seven thought the bank could deliver a half-percentage point hike, while two saw no move.
Mexico’s central bank raised its benchmark rate in 50-basis point moves in its previous four meetings as the peso tumbled to successive historic lows and threatened to fan inflation.
The peso has rallied back from a record low in January on bets that U.S. President Donald Trump will not impose big tariffs on Mexican exports to the United States, while initial talks about trade have taken a more positive tone.
Mexico’s annual inflation rate rose above 5 percent to a nearly eight-year high in early March, but policymakers say it should trend back toward their 3 percent target by next year.
(Reporting by Miguel Gutierrez and Noe Torres)
Receive the PVDN morning newsletter, exclusive content, and Whatsapp messaging for emergency alerts, by becoming a PVDN Supporter, learn more here