The Government of Mexico predicted on Wednesday that four to six cyclones out of a total of 33 expected to be formed in the Pacific (19) and Atlantic (14) oceans, will make landfall in Mexico.
“The forecast indicates that 33 systems will be presented, 6 above the historical average,” said the head of the National Water Commission (Conagua), Blanca Jimenez Cisneros in Ixtapa Zihuatanejo on the coast of the Mexican state of Guerrero.
“It is very probable, that of these tropical cyclones, 4 to 6 impact our country,” said the Mexican official.
He explained that of the 19 cyclones expected in the Pacific, eight can reach tropical storms and another eleven can reach hurricane, six of them in category 3 or higher.
In the Atlantic Ocean, 14 cyclones are forecast, of which 6 may be tropical storms, and eight hurricanes, he added.
He pointed out that “this year’s rainy season is expected to behave similarly to the historical average”, although in 2019 there has already been an incidence of 25% less rain than the historical average.
The rainfall deficit is greater in the states of the southeast, west, and center of the country and stressed that the drought and high temperatures have favored the occurrence of forest fires that affect a large part of the country.
Jiménez Cisneros said that “the effects of climate change have ceased to be a distant threat and have become a daily reality, and various agencies need to begin to implement actions to reduce the impact on citizenship.”
The official said that “in the face of the potential risk posed by these phenomena for Mexico “, the Conagua has an action plan in three stages: before, during and after the weather phenomena.
In Mexico, the rainy season and cyclones season started on May 15 and will end on November 30.