Wind shear, or changing wind direction and/or speed with height, is expected to put a lid on the system's intensity in the short-term. Then, the system will track over cooler water and more stable air, inducing further weakening by the weekend or early next week.

Rachel is forecast to move west-northwest over the next several days, before curling north sometime this weekend. While Rachel may indeed curl back toward the Baja peninsula early next week, it is expected to . . .